Physical Silver Premium Has Been Trending Upward Since Mid-September

Updated 11/22/21 @ 7:45 AM EST

Posted by Gregory Monte.

For graphs showing the physical gold & silver premiums as well as the current physical gold/silver ratios compared to spot, please go to my website: http://www.didthesystemcollapse.org.


The physical silver premium dipped to the 26% handle back on September 13, 2021. Since then it has been steadily trending up. This trend was confirmed by the 30 day moving average (in red) which began moving upward by mid-October. In addition, since October 25 the dollar premium has remained in the high $9.00 range. Back in September it was mired below $7.00 for an extended period of time.

Physical Silver Premium Now Over 40%

Updated 10/29/21 @ 2:50 PM EST

Posted by Gregory Monte.

For graphs showing the physical gold & silver premiums as well as the current physical gold/silver ratios compared to spot, please go to my website: http://www.didthesystemcollapse.org.


As the above chart illustrates, the Physical Silver Premium hit a recent low on 9/14/21 of 26%. Since then you can see that the premium has steadily and relentlessly crept up. It has now surpassed the 40% mark. Besides a very brief spike in late August, the last time it was this high was way back at the end of July 2021.

We will see if this trend has legs.

Physical Gold Price Breakout Signal?

The horizontal axis is the date from 4/20 to today.

Posted by Gregory Monte.

For graphs showing the physical gold & silver premiums as well as the current physical gold/silver ratios compared to spot, please go to my website: http://www.didthesystemcollapse.org.


The chart which appears above shows how the Ebay (physical) price of gold differs between the lowest vs. the second-lowest cost dealer.

The 90 Period Moving Average (in red) may seem random but I noticed that there were certain times when this differential spiked up.

1/12/21 is a good example.

Right before this date, the percentage differential spiked up above 1.8% and then the moving average trended upward.

By 1/12/21 the physical gold premium moved above 10% by evening.

Interesting …

The gap you see in the chart is the result of a short period of time when there was only one Ebay dealer offering coins in quantities of at least 10.

I don’t claim that this is a definitive signal of a physical gold price breakout but when I see this type of action I take take note.

As of 10/3/21 @ 7:10 PM EST the percentage differential is: 1.68%

Physical Silver Premium Up More Than 20% Off Recent Low

Posted by Gregory Monte.

For graphs showing the physical gold & silver premiums as well as the current physical gold/silver ratios compared to spot, please go to my website: http://www.didthesystemcollapse.org.


UPDATE 9/29/21 @ 4:15 PM EST: The Physical Silver Premium has bounced almost 25% off of its recent low. This low was set on 9/14/21 at 26.06%. The premium now stands at 32.19%.


CURRENT UPDATE: 9/29/21 @ 4:15 PM EST

Spot Silver Price (ounce) – $21.54

Physical Silver Eagle Price (based on a 20-coin tube on Ebay): $28.47. Pre-sales for future delivery are not counted.

Current Premium: $6.93/32.19%

Pinehurst Coin is the lowest price dealer selling in quantities of over 10, 20-coin tubes.

Physical Gold Premium Jumps 40% Today

Posted by Gregory Monte.

For graphs showing the physical gold & silver premiums as well as the current physical gold/silver ratios compared to spot, please go to my website: http://www.didthesystemcollapse.org.


UPDATE 9/23/21 @ 8:40 AM EST: The Physical Premium Percentage has come way back down as of this morning because Liberty Coin is back selling in large quantities. It now stands at 6.73%. However, the Percentage Differential Between the First & Second Low Cost Ebay Dealers is back above 2%:

Updated 9/23/21 @ 8:40 AM EST

UPDATE 9/22/21 @ 8:10 PM EST: The Physical Premium Percentage has jumped to 9.24%. Not sure if this is just a temporary thing or not but it may have something to do with the Federal Reserve Meeting today.


Spot Price (Goldprice.org): $1,767.40.

Physical Price (Ebay Lowest Buy Now Price From Dealer Selling Multiple Coins in quantities of more than 10) Pinehurst Coin: $1,930.64. NOTE: Pre-sales for future delivery are not counted .

Dollar Premium: $163.24

Percentage Premium (Physical/Spot): 9.24%

Premium for second lowest price dealer selling in quantities of more than 10 – APMEX: $191.48/10.83%.

Shanghai Premium to Spot Hits 2.38%.

Posted by Gregory Monte.

For graphs showing the physical gold & silver premiums as well as the current physical gold/silver ratios compared to spot, please go to my website: http://www.didthesystemcollapse.org.


UPDATE 9/17/21: The Shanghai Premium to Spot Price is at the highest level since I started recording this information: 2.38%. Also interesting is that the Shanghai Discount to Physical is at the absolute lowest since I began this chart: -3.66%.

Interesting developments ahead?

A Sign of Stress in the Physical Gold Market?

Updated 9/16/21 @ 10:20 AM EST

UPDATE 9/16/21 @ 10:20 AM EST: The percentage differential between the two lowest cost Ebay coin dealers selling in quantities of more than 10 has jumped to almost 3%. It hasn’t been this high since early February 2021. This could signal some stress in the Physical Gold Market (assuming that the differential remains elevated).

As you can see in the above graph, this differential has remained subdued for over a month. The last big spike was on 9/8/21 when it hit 1.98%.

Shanghai Price Spikes to Large Premium Against Spot

Posted by Gregory Monte.

For graphs showing the physical gold & silver premiums as well as the current physical gold/silver ratios compared to spot, please go to my website: http://www.didthesystemcollapse.org.


UPDATE 9/8/21: The Shanghai Premium to Spot Price is at the second highest level since I started recording this information: 1.62%. The highest discount before this was on 6/16/21 when it hit 1.86%. Also interesting is that the Shanghai Discount to Physical is at the absolute lowest since I began this chart: – 4.64%

Shanghai Discount/Premium to Spot on 9/8/21 @ 12:45 PM EST: 1.62%

Shanghai Discount to Physical on 9/8/21 @ 12:45 PM EST: -4.64%.

Physical Silver Premium Remains Subdued but it’s Still Almost 2x as High as in January 2021.

The Physical Silver Premium hit a low point on 1/4/21 of 15.65%. Then, with the “silver squeeze,” it shot up to 66.48% by 1/31/21. Since then it has fluctuated wildly – but has now settled into the high 20% range.


CURRENT UPDATE: 9/7/21 @ 12:30 PM EST

Spot Silver Price (ounce) – $24.33

Physical Silver Eagle Price (based on a 20-coin tube on Ebay): $31.14. Pre-sales for future delivery are not counted.

Current Premium: $6.81/27.97%

Bullion Exchanges is the lowest price dealer selling in quantities of over 10, 20-coin tubes.

Physical Silver Premium Remains Subdued but it’s Still Almost 2x as High as in January 2021.

The Physical Silver Premium hit a low point on 1/4/21 of 15.65%. Then, with the “silver squeeze,” it shot up to 66.48% by 1/31/21. Since then it has fluctuated wildly – but has now settled into the high 20% range.


CURRENT UPDATE: 9/7/21 @ 12:30 PM EST

Spot Silver Price (ounce) – $24.33

Physical Silver Eagle Price (based on a 20-coin tube on Ebay): $31.14. Pre-sales for future delivery are not counted.

Current Premium: $6.81/27.97%

Bullion Exchanges is the lowest price dealer selling in quantities of over 10, 20-coin tubes.